Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.016507 1.154083 1.303976 1.479510 1.679565 1.900616 2.163607
2025-12-28 0.820680 1.011545 1.237606 1.525535 1.883197 2.313777 2.872878
2026-01-04 0.683103 0.890937 1.151673 1.503677 1.967943 2.561378 3.380816
2026-01-11 0.608888 0.831699 1.124711 1.539680 2.114725 2.887125 4.009593
2026-01-18 0.542163 0.770534 1.083273 1.544850 2.212427 3.148525 4.570752
2026-01-25 0.481021 0.708076 1.030376 1.523844 2.265258 3.345601 5.053706
2026-02-01 0.426863 0.648619 0.973787 1.488501 2.289083 3.497185 5.478102
2026-02-08 0.381481 0.596827 0.922178 1.453243 2.306126 3.635547 5.890347
2026-02-15 0.353900 0.569182 0.903777 1.466087 2.397068 3.893735 6.515512
2026-02-22 0.325738 0.537550 0.875564 1.459318 2.453756 4.099435 7.071132
2026-03-01 0.298554 0.504745 0.842055 1.439740 2.485660 4.264562 7.570523
2026-03-08 0.269046 0.465232 0.793702 1.389868 2.459752 4.326754 7.891542
2026-03-15 0.244685 0.434600 0.761458 1.371918 2.500903 4.532477 8.539223
2026-03-22 0.231619 0.423000 0.761953 1.414151 2.658772 4.971486 9.690205
2026-03-29 0.211063 0.395456 0.730765 1.393945 2.696784 5.190741 10.442233
2026-04-05 0.200021 0.384318 0.728267 1.427236 2.840294 5.625987 11.678034
2026-04-12 0.186556 0.367053 0.712263 1.432016 2.927115 5.957939 12.741174
2026-04-19 0.171732 0.345549 0.685778 1.412593 2.961755 6.186603 13.611379
2026-04-26 0.157056 0.322839 0.654585 1.379911 2.964435 6.347741 14.351853
2026-05-03 0.143904 0.301945 0.624999 1.347306 2.963226 6.499424 15.088526
2026-05-10 0.136199 0.291729 0.616504 1.359184 3.060944 6.878399 16.400613
2026-05-17 0.127555 0.278638 0.600621 1.352924 3.116721 7.168455 17.536694
2026-05-24 0.118695 0.264215 0.580468 1.334819 3.142876 7.392468 18.538694